509
FNUS75 KSLC 201041
FWSSLC

Spot Forecast for Elizabeth Ridge...Northern Utah Interagency Fire Center
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
441 AM MDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on September 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...An area of low pressure will track towards northern
Arizona tonight, and across southern Utah on Saturday. The Unitas
will reside on the northern fringes of the moisture associated
with this low. Expect some terrain-based cumulus development this
afternoon with a very low chance for a brief shower late in the
afternoon and evening. A better chance for showers arrives on Saturday
beneath quite a bit of cloud cover. Snowfall amounts with this system
will be very light, most likely around a dusting, with less than a 15%
chance for 1". Moisture will begin to depart on Sunday, but excellent
overnight recovery is expected. Another low will drop across the region
on Monday, once again providing for the potential for isolated showers,
and keeping temperatures near to slightly below normal for the time of
year. As we head into next week, a slow warming trend is expected each
day, along with a slow drying trend. Overnight recovery is expected
to remain good through midweek, with some drying by late in the week,
when MaxRH drops down into the 65-75% range, with MinRh remaining in
the 20 percent range.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent cloud cover) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent cloud cover).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....65-67.
Min humidity........24-26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 3-7 mph becoming west 4-8 mph
                    around 1100, then becoming north 8-15 mph
                    around 1300.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Haines Index........5.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent cloud cover).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....27-29.
Max humidity........90-92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 4-8 mph becoming south-southeast
                    winds 3-7 mph around 2100.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph becoming east around 14
                    mph overnight.
Haines Index........4.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent cloud cover).
                    Slight chance of snow showers early in the
                    morning. Slight chance of rain showers in the
                    morning, then chance of rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Max temperature.....62-64.
Min humidity........33-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 3-7 mph becoming northeast 5-12
                    mph with gusts to around 16 mph around 1100.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4.

$$
Forecaster...ADeSmet
Requested by...Bryant Greczyn
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422479.2/SLC
.DELDT 09/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jared.peak@usda.gov,bryant.greczyn@usda.gov