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FNUS72 KTAE 200834
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Spot Forecast for Bu 19...FWC
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
434 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Good dispersions are forecast by ignition time, but become high
between 1PM and 3PM ET as easterly winds kick up in the afternoon
with occasional gusts up to about 20 mph. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are possible at the burn site from late
this morning until around 4PM ET. The main concerns would be
locally gusty/erratic winds and of course, lightning. Wetting
rains appear unlikely today.

For tomorrow, low dispersions hold until 10AM ET, followed by
even higher dispersions vs yesterday between 1PM and 3PM ET as
winds turn more out of the NE. Greater rain chances are forecast
as a tropical disturbance moves into the region, especially during
the afternoon. There is better potential for wetting rains and
thunder/lightning then.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  40  45  42  41  43  42  30  18
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30  10
LAL.............1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
Temp............78  81  84  86  87  89  90  91  91
RH..............82  77  72  65  63  59  58  54  50
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   9   9   9   7   9   8
20 FT wind gust.14  14  16  17  17  17  16  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.6 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.17  18  18  18  17  16  16  16  15
Dispersion......44  59  67  66  70  75  76  69  66
LVORI...........3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........15  10  8   8   15  10  3   1   1   4   6   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............91  90  87  84  81  79  77  76  74  72  72  71
RH..............49  50  53  59  63  64  69  71  74  79  79  81
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   7   6   6   5   5   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.18  15  13  13  13  9   8   7   5   5   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 2.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  10  9   9   10  12  12  10  9   9   8   9
Dispersion......47  31  6   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........1   1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   5

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   15  8   4   3   8   11  19  27  30  37  40
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  50  50  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3
Temp............70  70  73  77  82  85  87  91  94  93  91  90
RH..............84  87  84  79  72  65  63  56  49  52  56  60
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   9   9   10  10  12  12  10  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 0.9 1.7 2.5 3.2 4.0 4.7 5.4 4.5 3.6 2.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  14  14  14  15  15  16  15  14  13
Dispersion......4   5   15  29  43  57  71  84  95  80  64  47
LVORI...........5   5   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Gonzalez
Requested by...Justin Van Gorder
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416381.1/TAE
.DELDT 06/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Justin.VanGorder@myfwc.com