336
FXUS62 KTBW 201150
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
750 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 746 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

VFR conditions with no weather restrictions expected through the
period. Winds will remain less than 10 knots.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-TONIGHT)...
Issued at 500 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

A drier start to this morning compared to yesterday with ACARS
sounding showing PWAT values around 1.3 inches, and it is also
visible on the water vapor band on satellite. This is as trough
moving off the Northeast coast and associated boundary sagging
south continue to exit the area. At the same time, high pressure
begins to build from the north supporting north to northeasterly
winds along with drier air across the Sunshine State today. As a
result, showers and storms will be isolated to scattered this
afternoon with the highest chances for areas over the interior and
south of the I-4 corridor. Afternoon highs remain in the 90s with
overnight lows in the 70s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 427 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

High pressure begins to build in from the north into the weekend
keeping north to northeast up to 15 knots. An easterly surge is
anticipated each evening during this time. Though drier air should
keep lower rain chances over the weekend and into next week,
isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible during the
evening and early morning. No headlines are expected during this
time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  91  74  91  74 /  20  10  20   0
FMY  92  74  92  75 /  40  10  30  10
GIF  92  73  92  74 /  30  10  30   0
SRQ  92  73  92  73 /  20  20  20  10
BKV  91  70  92  70 /  20  10  20   0
SPG  91  78  92  77 /  20  10  10  10

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 1
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

AVIATION...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Hubbard