Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
494 FXUS62 KTBW 141842 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 242 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 240 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Some tropical moisture still lingers over south florida, from the low pressure surface that has moved off into the Atlantic. This will keep most of the shower activity south of I4 once again. However some sea breeze convergence could happen close to sunset aiding the development of some showers and storms over the interior. These should progress towards the west coast through the evening hours. Tomorrow a very similar set up is likely, with isolated showers possible down south, becoming more widespread in the afternoon. Showers and storms should help moderate temperatures throughout the week, keeping the highs a little closer to normal for this time of year. Isolated heat indices into the triple digits possible throughout the week as well. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 240 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Showers and storms possible this evening that could impact most sties, likely beginning around 20Z down south and closer to 00Z further north. Periods of MVFR ceilings possible throughout the day tomorrow as well as isolated showers and storms mainly down south. Winds become light and variable overnight before shifting more onshore in he afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 240 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024 This evening onshore winds will diminish and become light and variable overnight before increasing tomorrow afternoon as the sea breeze develops once again. Winds become more easterly moving into Sunday and by Monday increase to around 10-15kts sustained. Tuesday winds could get close to cautionary levels. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 240 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024 Ample moisture and soil saturation has helped decrease any fire weather concerns through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 78 89 78 92 / 50 70 30 60 FMY 77 87 76 91 / 50 60 30 50 GIF 76 90 75 92 / 40 70 20 50 SRQ 77 89 76 92 / 60 70 40 60 BKV 72 93 72 94 / 40 60 30 50 SPG 81 89 81 92 / 60 70 40 60 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 6 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte- Coastal Lee-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce DECISION SUPPORT...Hubbard