Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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535 FXUS64 KTSA 151903 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 203 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (The rest of this afternoon through tonight) Issued at 203 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 Hot and humid weather continues this afternoon across much of the area. A few locations in the Arkansas River Valley, including portions of far northeast Oklahoma should see heat indices top out in the 101-103 deg range. Further west, dewpoints are running several degrees lower compared to yesterday. A few isolated showers/thunderstorms could still develop in the higher terrain over far northwest Arkansas this afternoon, however coverage will likely remain very limited and more focused just north of area. It also appears that any storms that develop out west will likely begin to weaken before moving into northeast Oklahoma tonight. Otherwise, mild conditions will persist overnight with light south winds. && .LONG TERM... (Tonight through Saturday) Issued at 203 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 High temperatures will remain a few degrees above normal Sunday and again Monday. As upper high shifts over the Eastern Seaboard, a weak mid level impulse will lift north with low level Gulf moisture slowly increasing through mid week. This may allow isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop each afternoon with peak heating. Warming trend returns Friday into Saturday as upper ridging builds back into the southern Plains. Rain chances should remain very low to nil as easterly low level flow advects a drier air-mass into the region with PWATs decreasing. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1206 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024 VFR TAF elements will prevail at all sites through the valid period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 95 74 94 75 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 97 74 95 75 / 10 0 0 0 MLC 94 73 92 73 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 94 70 93 70 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 93 70 92 72 / 10 0 0 0 BYV 92 70 92 72 / 20 0 0 0 MKO 92 72 92 73 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 92 72 92 72 / 10 0 0 0 F10 92 71 92 72 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 91 72 91 72 / 0 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...12 LONG TERM....12 AVIATION...23