Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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649 FXUS64 KTSA 211818 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 118 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Thru Tonight) Issued at 117 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 A quiet afternoon and night is in store with ridging aloft in control. Lows should be a touch cooler with less cloud cover around overnight. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Friday) Issued at 117 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 South to southwest winds will pick up ahead of a weak boundary on Saturday. The strongest gusts will be in the morning to midday hours, backing off slightly in the afternoon. A low level thermal ridge over the central High Plains will expand east ahead of the boundary, allowing afternoon highs to climb into the low to mid 90s. The weak boundary may set off an isolated shower or storm near the KS border Saturday evening and maybe over NW AR on Sunday, but I wouldn`t count on any rain with mid-level ridging in control. The warming trend will continue into Sunday and Monday, and likely persisting into Tuesday, with heat headlines coming. The ridge shifts west by the middle of next week, with stronger N to NWrly flow developing aloft. A disturbance could bring storm chances as early at Tuesday, but the better chances look to be with a front Tuesday night into Wednesday, possibly bringing some brief relief from the heat for Thursday. Lacy && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1221 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 VFR conditions will prevail through the period with scattered cumulus around this afternoon and mostly clear skies expected through tonight into tomorrow. Gusty south-southwesterly winds around 15kts across northeast Oklahoma sites this afternoon will lessen this evening. Winds will come around more southwesterly for all sites tomorrow morning as a boundary approaches the area from the northwest. Bowlan && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 75 96 78 99 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 72 96 77 98 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 71 94 76 96 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 72 96 75 97 / 0 0 10 0 FYV 67 93 73 95 / 0 0 0 10 BYV 69 93 75 93 / 0 0 0 10 MKO 71 93 76 96 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 72 93 76 93 / 10 10 10 10 F10 70 93 76 96 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 70 93 73 96 / 0 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM....30 AVIATION...04