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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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042 FXUS64 KTSA 261640 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1140 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 ...New SHORT TERM... .SHORT TERM... (The rest of today ) Issued at 1137 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Last lingering portion of morning MCS is across extreme SE OK with stable overturned airmass northward across the remainder of the forecast area. Low chance of the remnant outflow boundary sparking storms late this afternoon near the western periphery of the forecast area should the boundary mix eastward. Otherwise dry weather is largely expected for the remainder of the afternoon. A welcome break from the heat has resulted from the early days rains the amount of heat and/or humidity recovery is questionable. Initial counties across far E OK / western AR have been removed from the afternoon heat advisory and additional removal will be dependent on afternoon trends. && .LONG TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 325 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Any ongoing precip will decay or move south of the area this evening with quiet weather overnight. Northeast sfc winds fill in this evening and overnight behind today`s storms, bringing drier and slightly cooler air into the region for Thursday. This should hold max heat indices in check... generally in the upper 90s/ lower 100s. The break from the heat will be short-lived however as upper ridging expands back over the area Friday/ Saturday with additional heat headlines looking probable. Another front tries to push into the region later Saturday into Sunday with a chance of showers and storms returning mainly to NE OK & NW AR. This may provide another short-lived break from the heat on Sunday but dangerous heat is forecast to return next week as positive height anomalies return yet again. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 623 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Chances for TSRA will impact the NE OK and AR sites through 16z as a complex of storms moves through the area. Will include tempo groups with MVFR vsbys in thunder at those aforementioned sites during that period. TSRA chances appear limited at KMLC so will not include any mention with this issuance. Cigs are expected to remain at VFR categories before scattering out this afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 96 74 95 79 / 10 0 10 10 FSM 94 76 95 75 / 10 10 10 0 MLC 97 74 95 77 / 10 10 0 0 BVO 94 69 93 76 / 10 0 10 10 FYV 90 68 92 72 / 10 10 10 0 BYV 87 68 90 69 / 10 0 10 0 MKO 94 73 92 76 / 10 10 10 0 MIO 89 68 91 75 / 10 0 10 10 F10 98 72 92 76 / 10 10 10 0 HHW 96 74 92 74 / 50 20 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ049-053>056- 059>061-064>067-070-071-073>075. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...07 LONG TERM....43 AVIATION...23