742
FXUS64 KTSA 262322
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
622 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 224 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Cloud cover will begin to increase later tonight across the
far eastern sections of the forecast area as Helene makes
landfall this evening in the Big Bend area of Florida.
Otherwise, quiet weather is in store for the overnight period
with low temperatures near or just a few degrees below seasonal
averages.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Thursday)
Issued at 224 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Later in the day Friday, remnants of Helene will be absorbed by a
cut off upper low that will be in the mid south region. Rain
chances will spread back east into Arkansas, with some shower
activity possible across NW AR and possibly parts of far E OK.
Will maintain low PoPs from Friday afternoon and Friday evening in
those areas. Beyond Friday, settled weather will prevail for the
remainder of the forecast period. A dry cold front will move
through the area early next week, with little impact on
temperatures. Temps will warm later in the week ahead of another
cold front that may move into the region by late next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period for all
sites. Skies remain mostly clear overnight with mostly high clouds
building in by the morning hours across NW AR. Otherwise, light
winds will become gusty out of the north/ northwest by late
tomorrow morning (gusting to near 20 kts) along with the
development of some afternoon cu.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   56  82  61  84 /   0  10   0   0
FSM   60  81  64  84 /   0  20  10   0
MLC   56  83  60  84 /   0   0  10   0
BVO   52  83  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   53  76  57  80 /   0  20  20  10
BYV   55  73  59  78 /  10  30  20  10
MKO   54  81  60  82 /   0  10  10   0
MIO   53  78  59  82 /   0  10  10   0
F10   54  82  58  83 /   0   0  10   0
HHW   58  82  61  84 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...43