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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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908 FXUS64 KTSA 220511 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1211 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024 ...New AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 756 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 Current forecast for tonight is on track with only a few minor adjustments needed. && .SHORT TERM... (Thru Tonight) Issued at 117 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 A quiet afternoon and night is in store with ridging aloft in control. Lows should be a touch cooler with less cloud cover around overnight. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Friday) Issued at 117 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 South to southwest winds will pick up ahead of a weak boundary on Saturday. The strongest gusts will be in the morning to midday hours, backing off slightly in the afternoon. A low level thermal ridge over the central High Plains will expand east ahead of the boundary, allowing afternoon highs to climb into the low to mid 90s. The weak boundary may set off an isolated shower or storm near the KS border Saturday evening and maybe over NW AR on Sunday, but I wouldn`t count on any rain with mid-level ridging in control. The warming trend will continue into Sunday and Monday, and likely persisting into Tuesday, with heat headlines coming. The ridge shifts west by the middle of next week, with stronger N to NWrly flow developing aloft. A disturbance could bring storm chances as early at Tuesday, but the better chances look to be with a front Tuesday night into Wednesday, possibly bringing some brief relief from the heat for Thursday. Lacy && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1206 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024 VFR conditions expected for all sites through the forecast period. Southerly winds increase by Saturday afternoon with gusts as high as 20 kts. A weak front approaches the region late Saturday evening and into the overnight hours with perhaps some scattered showers along the boundary near the OK-KS border. Notable flight impacts are not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 96 78 99 79 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 96 77 98 77 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 94 76 96 76 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 96 75 97 74 / 0 10 0 10 FYV 93 73 95 71 / 0 0 10 10 BYV 93 75 93 73 / 0 0 10 10 MKO 93 76 96 76 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 93 76 93 75 / 10 10 10 10 F10 93 76 96 76 / 0 0 0 0 HHW 93 73 96 74 / 0 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM....30 AVIATION...43