Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
942
FNUS55 KTWC 212215
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
315 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Gusty east to southeast winds continue to diminish
this afternoon. A strong increase in moisture will bring better RH
values along with a chance of thunderstorms into at least early next
week. Some storms will generate strong and erratic outflow winds.
Moisture is expected to be deep enough for some storms to generate
locally heavy rain.
Temperatures may heat back up by mid week as high pressure builds
nearly overhead, however we should keep some storm chances around.
AZZ150-221415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
315 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the north
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8711 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 10 knots shifting to the northeast
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (87110 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............6889 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 7 knots shifting to the west
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (68890 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 18 to 28 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 99 to 109.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-221415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
315 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 10 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............33 to 43 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8650 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 10 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (95150 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8983 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 7 knots shifting to the north 11
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (98813 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 91 to 101. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
28 to 38 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 80. Highs 92 to 102. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 92 to 102.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-221415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
315 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............64 to 74 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8573 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 13 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (120022 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10279 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 9 knots shifting to the south 11
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (113069 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 92 to 102. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 80. Highs 94 to 104. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 92 to 102.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 92 to 102.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-221415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
315 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8650 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 12 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (121100 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northeast around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8675 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 9 knots shifting to the south 10
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (86750 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 82 to 92.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-221415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
315 PM MST Fri Jun 21 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............68 to 78 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10190 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132470 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............12633 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 9 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (132646 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 81 to 91. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 82 to 92. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 83 to 93. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 81 to 91.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 81 to 91.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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