Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
254 FNUS55 KTWC 281032 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 332 AM MST Fri Jun 28 2024 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...Relatively deep moisture will stick around through the forecast period. This will bring widely scattered to scattered thunderstorms and showers today and Saturday, mainly south and east of Tucson. Moisture will increase more through the weekend and into next week to bring higher chances and coverage for thunderstorms and showers each day. Strong erratic gusty winds of 40 mph or higher can be expected with any storm development, along with locally brief heavy rainfall. Outside of thunderstorm winds, 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with the occasional gust of 20 mph. Min RHs will generally be around 20% in the valleys and 30s in the mountains with good overnight recoveries. AZZ150-282215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 332 AM MST Fri Jun 28 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............8991 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 13 to 15 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (134865 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 20 mph becoming south around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............17 to 27 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............7647 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 6 knots shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Good (45882 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 78 to 88. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 95 to 105. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 96 to 106. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-282215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 332 AM MST Fri Jun 28 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph increasing to west around 20 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9901 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 8 knots shifting to the west 12 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (118812 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............62 to 72 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............8462 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........North 7 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Good (59234 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 69 to 79. Highs 95 to 105. Southeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct. .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 87 to 97. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 88 to 98. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-282215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 332 AM MST Fri Jun 28 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph increasing to west around 20 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9520 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 7 knots shifting to the northwest 13 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (123760 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 17 to 21 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10595 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 9 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (95355 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 70 to 80. Highs 94 to 104. Southeast wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 88 to 98. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 90 to 100. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-282215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 332 AM MST Fri Jun 28 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10689 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 10 to 13 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (138957 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 22 to 26 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........84 to 94 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 10 mph shifting to the southeast in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9530 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northeast 7 knots shifting to the southeast 9 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (85770 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 84 to 94. Southeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct. .MONDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 32 to 42 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 78 to 88. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 82 to 92. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-282215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 332 AM MST Fri Jun 28 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10879 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 7 to 11 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (97911 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 15 to 19 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .SATURDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph. * Chance of Precip.........30 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10999 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Northwest 9 knots shifting to the east 8 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (87992 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 83 to 93. Southeast wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct. .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 35 to 45 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 77 to 87. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 78 to 88. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson