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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
058 FNUS55 KTWC 301556 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 856 AM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...Relatively deep moisture will stick around through the forecast period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight. The upcoming week will see daily chances of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Strong erratic gusty winds of 40 mph or higher can be expected with any storm development, along with locally brief heavy rainfall. Outside of thunderstorm winds, 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with the occasional gust of 20 mph. Min RHs will generally be around 20% in the valleys and 30s in the mountains with good overnight recoveries. AZZ150-302215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 856 AM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph increasing to southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........50 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10842 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 10 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (108420 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. South around 30 mph becoming southeast around 15 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........96 to 106 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........40 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. * Mixing Height............9745 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 7 knots shifting to the southwest 10 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (97450 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 100 to 110. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 96 to 106. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 73 to 83. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 100 to 110. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-302215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 856 AM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 degs. * Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast around 15 mph increasing to south around 25 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........80 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............8968 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........East 11 knots shifting to the southeast 13 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (116584 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............76 to 86 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. South around 30 mph becoming southeast around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........80 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............32 to 42 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9708 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 7 knots shifting to the southwest 10 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Very good (97080 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 92 to 102. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 38 to 48 pct. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-302215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 856 AM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............7924 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 18 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (142632 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............75 to 85 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. South around 25 mph becoming southeast around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........80 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9218 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 8 knots shifting to the southwest 11 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (101398 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 91 to 101. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 35 to 45 pct. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 91 to 101. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 23 to 33 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 91 to 101. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-302215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 856 AM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............12556 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 16 to 18 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (226008 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............77 to 87 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 20 mph in the evening becoming light. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........80 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs. * Min Humidity.............36 to 46 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........70 pct. * LAL......................5. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9704 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 13 knots shifting to the southwest 15 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (145560 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 80 to 90. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 31 to 41 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorms likely and slight chance of showers. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 83 to 93. North wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 85 to 95. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 82 to 92. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-302215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 856 AM MST Sun Jun 30 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............35 to 45 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........80 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............12453 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 15 to 16 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (193021 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............73 to 83 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 20 mph becoming southeast around 10 mph after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........80 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .MONDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............40 to 50 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........60 pct. * LAL......................4. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............10644 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southeast 10 knots shifting to the southwest 11 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (117084 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 80 to 90. Southwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 75 to 85. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 45 to 55 pct. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 79 to 89. North wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 34 to 44 pct. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 82 to 92. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 80 to 90. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson