Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
872
FNUS55 KTWC 202138
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
238 PM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Temperatures are expected to peak today from
Tucson westward, then more seasonable temperatures thereafter.
Surface winds currently east to southeast from Tucson eastward and
west to southwest areas west of Tucson. The strongest winds will be
in the Upper Gila River Valley near Safford as well as near Douglas
along the International and NM borders. The increased moisture with
min RH values in these locales currently 20-30 percent. So while the
winds are at critical levels, RH values will remain just above
critical levels but certainly still elevated fire weather conditions
due to the strong winds and dry fuels Thursday. Breezy to windy
conditions continue Friday, though increased moisture will have
overspread more of the forecast area. A mixture of dry/wet isolated
to scattered storms are expected this afternoon from Tucson eastward
and then to include the remainder of southeast Arizona Friday. As
moisture remains this weekend, isolated to scattered thunderstorms
will continue each day through the weekend into early next week with
a low to mid grade monsoon pattern in place.
AZZ150-211415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
238 PM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 degs.
* Max Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southwest around 20 mph shifting
to the east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........103 to 113 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast around 30 mph becoming
south around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............11652 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 19 to 24 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (279648 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Max Humidity.............41 to 51 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............7819 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 9 knots shifting to the north
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (78190 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 102 to 112. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 14 to 24 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 77 to 87. Highs 102 to 112.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 76 to 86. Highs 100 to 110.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-211415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
238 PM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 degs.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11907 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 20 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (273861 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............27 to 37 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............4132 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Good (41320 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 80. Highs 96 to 106.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 80. Highs 94 to 104.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-211415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
238 PM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............6362 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 26 to 28 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (178136 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8232 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 15 to 16 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (131712 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 93 to 103. North wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 19 to 29 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 94 to 104. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 20 to 30 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 69 to 79. Highs 96 to 106. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 16 to 26 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 71 to 81. Highs 97 to 107.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 70 to 80. Highs 95 to 105.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-211415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
238 PM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............72 to 82 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 20 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 35 to 40 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............39 to 49 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............6175 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 22 to 27 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (166725 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10229 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 12 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (143206 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 85 to 95. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 86 to 96. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
20 to 30 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 87 to 97.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 74. Highs 85 to 95.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-211415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
238 PM MST Thu Jun 20 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............63 to 73 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 12 to 16 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Very windy. Southeast 30 to 40 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Southeast 25 to 35 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11836 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 24 to 29 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (313654 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............62 to 72 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East 10 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............2 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10164 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 14 to 15 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (147378 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 82 to 92. North wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 83 to 93. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 85 to 95. Northwest wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 86 to 96.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 84 to 94.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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