Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boise, ID
Issued by NWS Boise, ID
401 FXUS65 KBOI 071007 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 407 AM MDT Fri Jun 7 2024 .SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday night...Most areas will see less cloud cover today as a W-NW flow brings in drier air at mid-levels. The exception will be areas along the OR/NV and ID/NV border where lingering moisture will support scattered showers and thunderstorms. While activity is expected to stay out of the Snake Plain, the western Magic Valley could experience outflow winds from cells to the south. Gust potential near the heavier showers and thunderstorms is up to 45 mph. Saturday is mostly dry across the region as an upper ridge axis moves overhead. A few late afternoon showers/storms could build over higher terrain south of Twin Falls and across far western Harney County. The chance for showers and thunderstorms increases Saturday night into Sunday as an upper trough pushes into the Pac NW. Higher terrain will see the best chance of precipitation (40-60%) Sunday afternoon/evening. Brief heavy rain and gusty winds could accompany heavier showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will be well above average through Saturday. Sunday is not as hot but will still see highs around 10 degrees above normal. .LONG TERM...Monday through Friday...Next week will see stretch of dry and warm weather as a low amplitude ridge sets up over the region. The west-southwest flow will keep temperatures around 10 degrees above normal, putting lower elevation highs near 90F each day. Any chance of precipitation would come late Thur/Fri with a low tracking through the southern Great Basin, but confidence in this feature are low at this time. && .AVIATION...VFR with another round of afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms. Development will be mostly along the northern NV border between 19Z and Sat/03Z. Activity extending into SE Oregon to near the KBNO terminal between Sat/00Z-06Z. Gusty and erratic outflow winds to 40 kt possible from storms. Surface winds: 5-15 kt, except gusty near storms. Winds at 10k ft MSL: SW- NW 10-20 kt. KBOI...VFR with light NW winds developing today. Weekend Outlook...VFR. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday evening across SE Oregon spreading to all areas Sunday. Heavier showers and thunderstorms will produce brief MVFR conditions with brief heavy rain and gusty winds possible. Highest confidence of convection is Sunday. Otherwise, surface winds generally W-NW 5-15 kt. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.twitter.com/NWSBoise SHORT TERM...DG LONG TERM....DG AVIATION.....DG