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847
FXUS61 KBGM 191344
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
944 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
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High pressure is expected to continue to dominate over the
region through the rest of the week and into the weekend with
mainly dry and mild weather conditions.
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&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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935 AM Update...

Added some patchy valley fog for another hour this morning,
mainly west of I-81. Made some minor sky cover tweaks over the
next couple of hours, mainly across the northern Finger Lakes
area where clouds continue to linger before clearing.
Temperatures were running a bit above our hourly forecast around
the Finger Lakes likely due to the cloud cover so blended in
the obs. With a pretty good radiational cooling night setting up
tonight, expanded areas of fog and extended it tomorrow morning
through 14Z.

245 AM update...

There has been some clearing in the clouds early this morning
and as such, valley fog became widespread. Any fog this morning
will dissipate by 14Z and then another warm day is expected with
highs in the upper 70s to low 80s as cloud cover will be less
today. More clearing tonight with high pressure overhead and
areas of valley fog will develop once again. Friday will be
similar to today with high pressure still in control and
temperatures again in the upper 70s to low 80s.
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&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
250 AM Update...

High pressure remains in place through the weekend. Dry
conditions are expected to continue through Sunday evening. High
temperatures in the low to high 70s can be expected, with a
possibility of hitting 80 in valley locations on Saturday.
Overall, a quiet and dry weekend with some warm temperatures.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
250 AM Update...

Heading into next week, high pressure gets pushed out of the
area, and a trough from Canada moves in, bringing a couple of
shortwaves and weak low pressure systems. As of now, long range
models have the entire area with chances of rain showers Monday
through Wednesday. It`s too far out in time to tell how much
rain we may get, but the strength of these systems don`t look
very impressive, and will likely be lighter intensity. Long
range guidance also has persistent rainfall over the area
through mid week, but there will likely be breaks in the
rainfall, and we`ll have better confidence in that timing as
model guidance gets finer resolution in the upcoming days.
Temperatures will dip into the mid to high 60s through mid week.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Mostly VFR conditions expected through the period, other than
early morning fog. Fog impacting ELM this morning will lift
around 14Z. Skies will become mostly clear tonight and fog will
likely be more widespread. Restrictions from fog early Friday
morning are expected again at ELM and fog may also impact RME,
ITH, and BGM.

.Outlook...

Friday through Monday...Mainly VFR with valley fog possible at
ELM during the early morning hours.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MPK
NEAR TERM...DK/MPK
SHORT TERM...KL
LONG TERM...KL
AVIATION...MPK