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817
FXUS61 KBTV 171845
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
245 PM EDT Tue Sep 17 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
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Dry weather will continue over the next week with no
significant chances for rainfall expected. Warmer than normal
temperatures will continue through Friday, and then temperatures
will trend back towards seasonal normals.
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&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
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As of 244 PM EDT Tuesday...Ridge of surface high pressure will
remain anchored over northern New York and Vermont through at
least Wednesday night. Dry weather and warmer than normal
temperatures will continue during this period. Fog development
is expected each overnight period, especially in the typically
fog prone spots. There`s some high cloud cover in place and
expected to remain overnight, but shouldn`t have too much of an
impact on our max and min temps.
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&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
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As of 244 PM EDT Tuesday...Warm and dry weather will continue
for Thursday and Thursday night. A low pressure system will pass
off the southern New England coast during this timeframe, but
only anticipate some increase in cloud cover for our forecast
area. Rainfall associated with this low will remain south and
east of our region.
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&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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As of 244 PM EDT Tuesday...Really not much weather to talk
about in the extended portion of our forecast either. Currently
it looks like Friday will be the warmest of the period, with a
gradual trend back towards seasonal normal temperatures. Have a
slight chance for some showers on Friday as low pressure area
still continues to rotate off New England coast. Could see some
showers sneak northward into our area, but may just be an
increase in cloud cover as well. Surface and upper level ridging
are then expected over our area from Saturday through Monday
with dry weather and seasonable temperatures. Models are hinting
at next chance for precipitation in our region towards the
early part of next week as a surface and upper level trough
approach from the west on Tuesday. Being so far out in the
forecast, only have slight chance pops for now, but will
continue to monitor potential for a soaking rain towards the
middle of next week.
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&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 18Z Wednesday...Calm winds with only high clouds in
place today. Currently widespread SCT-BKN250. More fog
development is expected overnight, similar to the past several
nights. Fog will impact SLK, MPV and EFK. Also think we could
have some fog at MSS.

Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. Patchy BR.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Neiles