Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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247 FXUS64 KSJT 232317 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 617 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday) Issued at 214 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 High pressure will continue to slowly build across the region. Hot and dry conditions will result. A few areas will likely see the triple digits across the region this afternoon into early next week as the temperatures will continue on an upward trend. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Sunday) Issued at 238 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 The 500mb ridge will continue to be the main feature driving weather conditions through the upcoming week. The ridge should build in over Texas with heights topping out at 592 dam, while 850mb temperatures look to be in the 18-22 deg C range, pushing to 24 deg C by midweek. As a result, afternoon temperatures are expected to be in the upper 90s to around 100 to start the week, then reach the 100- 105 degree range for Wednesday and Thursday. Southerly surface flow should also keep humidity levels up, with dewpoints of 65-70 expected. Overnight lows will likely be in the upper 70s due to the muggy conditions. One potential limiting factor, given the steady low-level moisture, could be lingering cloud cover from nightly stratus decks that may occur from the Concho Valley southward. These areas may end up being several degrees cooler than areas north of the Concho Valley. Towards the end of the week, models show the ridge starting to break down as a cold front drops into Oklahoma and north Texas. Chances for rain still look fairly low at this time, but this will monitored over the next couple of days. && .AVIATION...
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(00Z TAFS) Issued at 604 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2024 Patchy stratus is possible across the Hill Country toward daybreak, but expect VFR conditions to prevail at all sites. Gusty east to southeast winds will decrease to 10 knots or less this evening.
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 74 97 78 100 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 74 100 77 101 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 73 97 75 97 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 72 96 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 74 98 77 100 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 72 96 75 96 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 72 94 75 96 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...41 LONG TERM....SK AVIATION...Daniels