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905
FXUS61 KLWX 081849
AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
249 PM EDT Sat Jun 8 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
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High pressure builds over the region today yielding dry conditions
areawide. A weak cold front will move through the area on Sunday,
bringing renewed rain chances Sunday into Monday. Dry conditions
return through midweek as high pressure returns.
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&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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A cold front will continue pushing southward away from the region as
high pressure builds over the forecast area throughout the day.
This will provide dry conditions and mostly skies areawide
throughout today. Winds will remain out of the northwest blowing
5-10 knots, gusting up to 15 to 20 knots before becoming light
and variable overnight.

High temperatures will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s with higher
elevations staying in the 60s. Overnight low temperatures will dip
into the upper 50s to 60s areawide.
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&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
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A weak cold front will track southeast over the forecast area
throughout the day on Sunday, bringing low end PoPs (<40%) to the
area. Lack of moisture aloft will keep precipitation chances at
slight chance to chance with the greatest chances being for those
along and west of the Alleghenies. High temperatures will get into
the upper 70s to mid 80s for most while those at higher elevations
stay in the 60s to low 70s. Breezy northwest winds will gust 15 to
20 knots in the afternoon before diminishing overnight.

Temperatures dip into the 50s to 60s areawide Sunday night as dry
conditions return. High pressure will build in over the region on
Monday as winds remain out of the northwest. Most of the area is
expected to be dry, but an upper level trough pivoting over the area
will bring a slight chance of precipitation to those along the
Alleghenies and in the southernmost portions of the area. High
temperatures will be slightly cooler in the wake of the cold front
with highs in the 70s (60s mountains) for most. Overnight low
temperatures will fall into the 40s to 50s for most with only those
in the metro areas staying in the low 60s.
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&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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High pressure will settle over the Mid-Atlantic Tuesday
and Wednesday before moving further offshore later in the week. For
Tuesday, mostly sunny skies are expected with highs in the upper 70s
to low 80s for most areas aside from the mountains where mid to
upper 60s will be more common. A weak shortwave may approach the far
western areas on Wednesday afternoon and bring a few light showers
across mainly the Allegheny Front, otherwise most areas will stay
dry with highs in the low to mid 80s with some areas even nearing 90
degrees. The higher terrain will be a bit cooler, in the low to mid
70s.

A warmer and more moist airmass returns late in the week as high
pressure scoots further offshore. A cold front approaches from the
Great Lakes region Thursday into early Friday, with showers and a
few isolated thunderstorms possible on Thursday and slightly better
chances moving in on Friday. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s
with a more apparent summertime airmass settling in for the time-
being. Overall, the front passage looks to be fairly lacking of
moisture but cannot rule out some precipitation with it.
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&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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Prevailing VFR conditions are expected throughout the weekend.
Sub-VFR conditions are possible Sunday during scattered rain
showers. Northwesterly winds become light and variable tonight
before shifting from southwesterly Sunday morning to
northwesterly Sunday afternoon. Winds increase slightly on
Sunday, gusting 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon before
diminishing Sunday night. Winds remain out of the
north/northwest Monday with VFR conditions expected.

VFR conditions are expected Tuesday into Wednesday with only a few
showers possible on Wednesday west of most of the terminals. Winds
out of the northwest will eventually turn more south-southwesterly
by Wednesday, ushering in an even warmer airmass.
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&&

.MARINE...
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Northwesterly winds are expected to remain below SCA criteria
this afternoon and overnight. On Sunday, winds remain out of the
northwest, gusting up to 20 knots. A Small Craft Advisory is
possible over the middle and upper portions of the Tidal Potomac
and Chesapeake Bay Sunday afternoon as a cold front moves over
the waters. Winds diminish to sub-SCA criteria Sunday night into
Monday.

Sub-SCA winds are expected Tuesday into Wednesday as an area of high
pressure impacts the Mid-Atlantic. Winds out of the northwest on
Tuesday will turn more southwesterly over the waters on
Wednesday.
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&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
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Tidal anomalies remain above normal, leading to sensitive
locations nearing or reaching Action stage during the next few
high tide cycles. This trend continues through the beginning of
the week, with no tidal flooding expected.
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&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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DC...None.
MD...None.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EDT this afternoon for
     ANZ530>534-536>543.
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&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...AVS
NEAR TERM...AVS
SHORT TERM...AVS
LONG TERM...ADM
AVIATION...AVS/ADM
MARINE...AVS/ADM
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...AVS