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FNAK79 PAFG 271656
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Little Black 223...BLM-AFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
856 AM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 AKDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and dry with scattered thunderstorms throughout today
situated along a boundary. Storms are possible near the fire all
day today with some lingering through the night. Conditions
improve tomorrow with the boundary weakening and moving east of
the fire. Minimum relative humidity increases tomorrow and
Saturday and maximum temperatures decrease slightly during that
same time. Winds shift southwest with the passing boundary this evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms late in the morning. Numerous
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...10 am.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Isolated thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Scattered showers through the
                    night. Isolated thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................30 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....8pm.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Scattered showers.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 am.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Areas of smoke. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in
the mid 70s. Northwest winds around 8 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the lower 70s. West winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...STOKES
Requested by...Evan Karp
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416796.1/AFG
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0