942
FNAK79 PAFG 211440
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 119 McDonald...Yukon Dispatch Center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
640 AM AKDT Fri Jun 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 AKDT on June 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A thermal low pressure trough just north of the fire will move over
the fire about noon today, then move south of the fire late this
afternoon and move further south of the fire tonight and Sat.
The thermal trough will serve as focus mechanisms for convection
this afternoon and evening when isolated thunderstorms can be expected.

Northeast winds will blow at 10 mph this afternoon into Sat,
causing smoke to move southwest of the fire and away from the
Richardson Highway.

A drying and warming trend will occur through the weekend and
will bring near Red Flag conditions Sat PM.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of smoke
                    thinning in the afternoon. Isolated showers in the
                    morning, then scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................21 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light becoming Northeast 7 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 7 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Smoke.
                    Scattered rain showers  and isolated thunderstorms
                    in the evening. Isolated rain showers overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 7 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....Midnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Smoke.
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the lower 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Areas of
smoke. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Casey Lasota
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416117.14/AFG
.DELDT 06/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0