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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
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728 FXUS64 KAMA 031047 AAA AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Amarillo TX 547 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM ... (Today through Thursday night) Issued at 248 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024 The cold front that made it through the southern Texas Panhandle earlier tonight is expected to stall and dissipate today. This will allow southerly moist low level flow to move back across the Panhandles today. This moisture coupled with a couple of disturbances aloft should be enough to continue to fire showers and thunderstorms through tonight. Some of the storms may become severe with damaging winds the main threat. However, a hailstone to the size of a half dollar would not be out of the question. On the 4th of July, a stronger cold front is expected to move through the Panhandles during the late morning and afternoon. Some showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the southeast Texas Panhandle in the afternoon and evening along and ahead of the front. Shower and thunderstorm development is expected to increase after midnight of the 4th into the 5th as an upper level disturbance approaches in the northwest flow aloft. && .LONG TERM ... (Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 248 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024 The northwest flow aloft is expected to continue through Tuesday of next week with a high centered over California and Nevada and a trough centered over the Great Lakes. This flow coupled with weak disturbances will continue to bring daily chances of showers and thunderstorms to the Panhandles. The northwest flow will also usher in another cold front on Sunday. High temperatures are expected to generally remain below normal from Friday through next Tuesday. However, Sunday could be just a tad above normal. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 541 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024 Winds are expected to become more southerly at around 15 knots with higher gusts by mid afternoon. A few thunderstorms will be possible and one or two may have strong gusty winds with them this afternoon into the early evening. Winds are then expected to decrease to around 10 knots or less this evening out of the southeast. Skies are expected to remain VFR outside of thunderstorms. However, the GUY TAF site may have some IFR CIGs this morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 90 70 93 65 / 50 20 10 50 Beaver OK 85 67 87 61 / 60 30 10 30 Boise City OK 85 62 84 58 / 50 30 0 40 Borger TX 92 72 95 65 / 40 30 10 50 Boys Ranch TX 91 67 93 63 / 30 30 0 50 Canyon TX 90 69 93 63 / 40 20 10 50 Clarendon TX 94 72 96 65 / 30 20 20 40 Dalhart TX 88 63 88 59 / 30 30 0 40 Guymon OK 86 64 86 59 / 50 30 0 40 Hereford TX 92 70 95 65 / 40 20 10 50 Lipscomb TX 87 70 91 63 / 50 20 10 30 Pampa TX 89 70 92 63 / 40 40 10 50 Shamrock TX 96 74 99 66 / 40 20 20 40 Wellington TX 99 76 100 68 / 20 20 20 40 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...15 LONG TERM....15 AVIATION...15