Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
649 FNUS53 KAPX 290902 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 502 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024 ...Numerous showers and a few thunderstorms into this evening... .DISCUSSION...Low pressure passing to our north will push a cold front across northern Michigan late today. Showers and a few storms will continue to cross the area through late this morning. A bit of a lull early to mid afternoon, before additional showers and storms form late this afternoon into this evening. Some of these storms could be strong, with locally gusty winds. Otherwise we will see southwest to west winds today. Cloud cover will gradually decrease Sunday, with lower humidity values and a northwest breeze. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-292200- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 502 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Numerous showers and chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....77-82...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........64-69 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 31 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (485). Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.49 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain showers and chance of thunderstorms until 2400Isolated rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....49-54. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (120). Mixing Height.......900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.23 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 29 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (906). Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-292200- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 502 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....78-83...except 68-73 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........58-63 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (652). Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the west around 18 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.35 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain showers and chance of thunderstorms until 2400. Min Temperature.....49-54...except 56-61 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 77-82 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (65). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....66-71. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......20 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming light. Gusts up to 30 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (927). Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ020-025>027-292200- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 502 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then partly sunny (60-70 percent). Numerous showers and chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....76-81...except 63-68 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........64-69 percent. 24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 6 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (533). Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.23 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain showers and chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then isolated rain showers. Min Temperature.....49-54. 24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........89-94 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (122). Mixing Height.......800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........45-50 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 26 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (847). Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ031>033-292200- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 502 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent) until 1200, then partly sunny (45-55 percent). Numerous showers and chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....77-82. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........64-69 percent...except 74-79 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (633). Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.23 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain showers and chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then isolated rain showers. Min Temperature.....47-52. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (123). Mixing Height.......800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........44-49 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 27 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (855). Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-292200- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 502 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered showers and chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....79-84. 24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........60-65 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (878). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.24 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain showers and chance of thunderstorms until 2400. Min Temperature.....49-54. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........88-93 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (101). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in . .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max Temperature.....65-70. 24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........39-44 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (981). Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ JZ