Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
543 FNUS53 KAPX 222006 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 406 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 ...No fire weather concerns forthcoming... .DISCUSSION...While widespread rain ends this evening, additional shower chances will continue into next week. Current trends support maintenance of at least somewhat elevated moisture profiles through next week. Winds will be periodically gusty at times. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-230815- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 406 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of rain showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (65). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the west after midnight. Pcpn Amount......... 0.33- 0.73 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then slight chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....68-73...except 59-64 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........64-69 percent. 24 HR Trend......21 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (458). Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....51-56...except 58-63 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (27). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 56-61 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......19 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (438). Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the west around 9 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-230815- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 406 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 6 degrees warmer near the coast. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (57). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.45- 0.91 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....69-74...except 60-65 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........66-71 percent. 24 HR Trend......19 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (547). Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Min Temperature.....52-57...except 59-64 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (53). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max Temperature.....77-82...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........44-49 percent. 24 HR Trend......26 percent drier...except 19 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (451). Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ020-025>027-230815- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 406 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely after 2400. Min Temperature.....57-62. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (93). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.22- 0.58 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....67-72. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........64-69 percent. 24 HR Trend......22 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (470). Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min Temperature.....52-57...except 59-64 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 82-87 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (21). Mixing Height.......300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Max Temperature.....77-82...except around 71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........45-50 percent. 24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (384). Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the west around 9 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ031>033-230815- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 406 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Thunderstorms likely until 2400. Rain showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (102). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.27- 1.05 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then slight chance of rain showers. Max Temperature.....68-73...except 61-66 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........63-68 percent. 24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (631). Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (24). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Max Temperature.....77-82...except 70-75 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 58-63 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 13 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (450). Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the west around 9 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-230815- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 406 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Min Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Max Humidity........95-100 percent. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (90). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.41- 1.01 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....70-75. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........62-67 percent. 24 HR Trend......20 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (691). Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min Temperature.....52-57. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (42). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .MONDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Max Temperature.....77-82. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........42-47 percent. 24 HR Trend......23 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (610). Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ MSB