Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
327 FNUS53 KAPX 180943 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 543 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024 ...Hot, humid conditions with scattered storms today... .DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and storms are expected across parts of northern Michigan at times this morning into early this evening. Hot temperatures are also in store again today with highs climbing into the upper 80s and low 90s for most areas. South-southwest winds will continue to increase this morning, becoming 10-15 mph with gusts to 20-30 mph by this afternoon. RH concerns are not anticipated through the remainder of the week. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-182015- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 543 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....88-93...except 77-82 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 17 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (1160). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in . .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms until 2400. Min Temperature.....72-77. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........77-82 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (111). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . .JUNETEENTH... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....89-94...except 71-76 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler. Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 55-60 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming light. Gusts up to 30 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (664). Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.19 in. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-182015- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 543 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms until 1200Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....89-94...except 78-83 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (1119). Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.13 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms until 2400. Min Temperature.....70-75. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........79-84 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (79). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . .JUNETEENTH... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....89-94...except 77-82 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........40-45 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (838). Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.33 in . $$ MIZ020-025>027-182015- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 543 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....86-91...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........45-50 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (1104). Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in . .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 2400. Min Temperature.....72-77. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Max Humidity........77-82 percent...except 66-71 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 28 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (112). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .JUNETEENTH... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....86-91...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer...except 8 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........48-53 percent. 24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 10 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming light. Gusts up to 30 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (617). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . $$ MIZ031>033-182015- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 543 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....84-89. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........50-55 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (1165). Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in . .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min Temperature.....70-75. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Max Humidity........75-80 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (116). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . .JUNETEENTH... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....86-91...except 74-79 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 58-63 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 1 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (734). Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-182015- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 543 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....87-92. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........44-49 percent. 24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (1315). Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.13 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms until 2400. Min Temperature.....71-76. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........79-84 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (88). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . .JUNETEENTH... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....88-93. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (982). Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in . $$ .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ DJC