Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 240651
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
251 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...No precipitation through this evening...then showers and storms
develop late tonight...

.Discussion...High pressure will continue to build into Northern
Michigan today into this evening...providing plenty of sun with no
precipitation expected. A fast-moving low pressure system will enter
the Western Great Lakes tonight. Chances of showers and
thunderstorms will increase from west to east late tonight and will
continue into Tuesday morning at least. High temperatures will warm
into the upper 70s to lower 80s this afternoon...with minimum
relative humidities dropping into the 40 to 50 percent range.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-242015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
251 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (302).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms and slight chance of rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after
                    midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.23 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (525).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.20 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-242015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
251 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 12 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (279).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the west around
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Showers likely
                    until 1200, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (759).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.18 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-242015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
251 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (265).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after
                    midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.37 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (548).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.20 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-242015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
251 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (302).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.37 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (620).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.21 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-242015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
251 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (374).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the south around
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.13 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (864).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.18 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MLR