051
ABNT20 KNHC 290536
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
recently-upgraded Tropical Storm Beryl, located over the central
tropical Atlantic Ocean.

Northwestern Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean Sea
near the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula continues to produce
widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development of this low is not anticipated before it moves inland
over the Yucatan Peninsula later today. The system is then forecast
to move west-northwestward, emerging over the Bay of Campeche
tonight or early Sunday, where conditions appear generally conducive
for further development. A tropical depression could form before the
system moves inland again early next week over Mexico. Regardless of
development, heavy rainfall associated with the area of low pressure
will affect portions of Central America and Mexico through early
next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Beven