221
FXUS61 KBGM 220728
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
328 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry conditions return for today, with temperatures seasonably
warm, followed by overnight valley fog. Rain showers expected
for most of the upcoming week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
325 AM Update...

Dry conditions return briefly today, with temperatures in the
low to high 70s. Overnight, valley fog is expected to develop.
Rain showers move into the area from the west in the early
morning Monday hours. It`ll move into areas east of I-81 by
early afternoon, and last through the rest of the day.
Temperatures cool down slightly into the mid to high 60s for
Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
220 PM Update...

Sharp upper level ridge continues to shift east on Monday
morning placing our region inbetween features. Surface high
pressure will be well off to our east with a short wave moving
through Monday afternoon into Tuesday. Mondays forecast will
depend on how long high pressure holds. Once moist air mass over
rules, showers will work their way into the region from west to
east. PoPs in the form of light rain showers look to slowly
work into areas west of I-81 by Monday afternoon, overspreading
the area Monday night before slowly tapering off Tuesday. As
ridging amplifies over the southeastern US, another shortwave
approaches the region on Tuesday afternoon and evening with more
showers and possible thunderstorms. Temperatures during this
period will be near normal with highs in the 60s and overnight
lows in the 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
220 PM Update...

Relatively active pattern continues during this period as upper
level pattern amplifies. Placement of the upper level ridge over the
southeast will keep our region under persistent southerly flow. This
will allow a stream of embedded disturbances to continue to
trail into the region. As a result afternoon shower and
thunderstorm chances are expected through Thursday. Upper level
trough dips into the region later in the period keeping shower
chances around through the weekend as well. Rainfall appears to
be light in nature with no hazardous weather expected at this
time. Forecasted temperatures will remain comfortable with highs
in the 60s and overnight lows in the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions expected for all terminals through the TAF
period, except ELM. Current clouds over ELM are expected to
dissipate within the next hour or two, and fog is expected to
develop quickly after clouds dissipate, with conditions
deteriorating to IFR or lower by 07/08Z. Fog lifts a few hours
after sunrise, around 13/14Z, and conditions will improve back
to VFR.

.Outlook...

Sunday evening through midday Monday...VFR. Local fog
restrictions possible late.

Late Monday through Thursday...Generally, unsettled with VFR
ceilings and occasional flight restrictions possible in passing
showers and a chance of thunderstorms each day.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...KL
NEAR TERM...KL
SHORT TERM...ES
LONG TERM...ES
AVIATION...KL