Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
079 FNUS53 KDTX 241902 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 302 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 .DISCUSSION...A low pressure system will track across the region tonight, providing numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms to the region. A lingering trough will sustain ample low level moisture across the area into Wednesday afternoon. High pressure will then expand across the area from the west late Wednesday and will persist across the region into Friday. This system will sustain much drier conditions to the region. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-251415- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 302 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered showers until 2 pm, then numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Max temperature.....68-72. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........70-80 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2620-3120 ft agl. Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (301). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms until 2 am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Max humidity........93-100 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the late evening and early morning, then becoming southwest after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast in the late evening and early morning, then becoming west after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain showers after 11 am until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....71-76. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Min humidity........54-64 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3540-4040 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (419). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min temperature.....50-56. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........87-97 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......380-580 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-251415- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 302 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered showers until 2 pm, then numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Max temperature.....69-74. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........75-84 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2390-2890 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (258). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Numerous showers until 2 am. Scattered thunderstorms. Scattered showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Max humidity........99 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 pm, then partly sunny (50-60 percent). Scattered showers until 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....69-74. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........62-72 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph becoming west early in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2470-2970 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (373). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min temperature.....50-56. 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler. Max humidity........85-95 percent. 24 hr trend......15 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......420-620 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-251415- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 302 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous showers. Isolated thunderstorms after 11 am until 2 pm, then scattered thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 71. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Min humidity........75-85 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2030-2530 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (228). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous rain showers and scattered thunderstorms until 11 pm, then scattered showers until 2 am. Isolated thunderstorms after 11 pm until 5 am. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........92-100 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming southwest in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent) until 2 pm, then partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....70-76. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Min humidity........59-69 percent. 24 hr trend......15 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (371). Pcpn amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min temperature.....52-58. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........83-93 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......380-580 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming north after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. $$ SC