568
ACUS01 KWNS 250100
SWODY1
SPC AC 250059

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Valid 250100Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OK...

...SUMMARY...
A few severe storms remain possible this evening across parts of
central and southern Oklahoma into north Texas. Strong to locally
severe storms also remain possible across parts of the Ohio and
Tennessee Valleys into the southern Appalachians region.

...Central OK into north TX...
A hail-producing supercell that earlier moved through the OKC metro
area has weakened, but additional development is underway across
central OK. A cluster of strong to locally severe storms may
continue southeastward into north TX through late evening, with
moderate buoyancy and relatively strong deep-layer shear continuing
to support a threat for at least isolated hail and damaging wind.
Increasing CINH should eventually result in a weakening trend,
though a few stronger elevated storms will remain possible into the
overnight hours.

...Ohio/Tennessee Valleys into the southern Appalachians...
Scattered thunderstorms are ongoing this evening across parts of the
OH/TN Valleys into the southern Appalachians, within a relatively
moist and favorably sheared environment. A gradual decreasing trend
is expected to continue with time, due to diurnal cooling and
weakening instability. However, ascent attendant to a
mid/upper-level trough digging southeastward from the lower MO/mid
MS Valley will help to sustain multicell clusters and possibly a
couple supercells into late evening, with a threat of isolated
damaging gusts and hail.

..Dean.. 09/25/2024

$$