Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
262 FNUS54 KEPZ 201933 FWFEPZ Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 133 PM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MDT FRIDAY... .DISCUSSION... Breezy southeast flow due to a moisture intrusion will continue into Friday. Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph tomorrow with Fair to Good smoke ventilation with transport to the northwest of wildfires. Isolated rain showers possible this evening and again tomorrow afternoon, especially over the Sacramento Mountains. Sensitive burn scars will be monitored closely for flooding risks. Min RH 30-40% lowlands and 50-75% mountains. Warmer and drier weather returns this weekend into next week but daily afternoon storm chances will continue over the forested terrain. && ...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect sky cover amount... ...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows: Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft) Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft) Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft) Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft) Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established by the state of New Mexico. NMZ110-211345- Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ- 133 PM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....56-60. * Below 7500 ft....61-66. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....83-88 percent. * Below 7500 ft....81-86 percent. * 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 30 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................3 until 2400, then 4. * Haines index........3. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....72-77. * Below 7500 ft....80-85. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....45-50 percent. * Below 7500 ft....42-47 percent. * 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 24 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......5500-7300 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (111300 knot-ft). .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....57-61. * Below 7500 ft....63-68. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent. * Below 7500 ft....66-71 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........3. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the morning, then rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....75-80. * Below 7500 ft....85-90. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....38-43 percent. * Below 7500 ft....31-36 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........5. * Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (83200 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 85 to 90. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 87 to 92. West winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 89 to 94. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ111-211345- Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ- 133 PM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MDT FRIDAY... .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight. * Min temperature.....67-71. * 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. * Max humidity........67-72 percent. * 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds 25 to 30 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 29 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........4. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....88-92. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........34-39 percent. * 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 24 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (136800 knot-ft). .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....69-74. * Max humidity........55-60 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 22 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........2. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....93-97. * Min humidity........20-24 percent. * 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (116700 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 100. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 97 to 101. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 100 to 105. Northwest winds around 10 mph. $$ NMZ112-211345- South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- 133 PM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the evening, then chance of rain showers after midnight. * Min temperature.....66-71. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. * Max humidity........72-77 percent. * 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 26 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........2. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers. * Max temperature.....85-90. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........38-43 percent. * 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......5400-7200 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (111100 knot-ft). .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min temperature.....66-71. * Max humidity........63-68 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................2. * Haines index........2. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....91-96. * Min humidity........22-27 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (86900 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 97 to 102. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 99 to 104. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ113-211345- Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ- 133 PM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain showers through the night. Thunderstorms likely after midnight. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....50-55. * Below 7500 ft....58-63. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....93-98 percent. * Below 7500 ft....90-95 percent. * 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 24 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 5. * Haines index........2. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then showers and thunderstorms likely. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....65-70. * Below 7500 ft....74-79. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....73-78 percent. * Below 7500 ft....58-63 percent. * 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph. * Chc of precip.......80 percent. * LAL.................4 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......4000-4700 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....South around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Fair (55100 knot-ft). .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....49-54. * Below 7500 ft....57-62. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....90-95 percent. * Below 7500 ft....84-89 percent. * 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........2. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....72-77. * Below 7500 ft....82-87. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....48-53 percent. * Below 7500 ft....34-39 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Good (71900 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 83 to 88. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 86 to 91. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 89 to 94. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ055-211345- Texas Fire Weather Zone 055 El Paso County- 133 PM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight. * Min temperature.....71-75. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. * Max humidity........71-76 percent. * 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. East winds 20 to 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 28 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........2. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers until 1200, then slight chance of showers. * Max temperature.....89-93. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........32-36 percent. * 24 hr trend......10 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (148400 knot-ft). .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). * Min temperature.....71-75. * Max humidity........62-67 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........2. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). * Max temperature.....93-97. * Min humidity........20-22 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (103800 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the 70s. Highs 97 to 101. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 99 to 103. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 102 to 106. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ056-211345- Texas Fire Weather Zone 056 Hudspeth County- 133 PM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Thunderstorms likely in the evening. Chance of showers through the night. Chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....65-69. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. * Max humidity........86-91 percent. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. East winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 29 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................5 until 2400, then 4. * Haines index........2. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max temperature.....85-90. * 24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........37-42 percent. * 24 hr trend......19 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (131500 knot-ft). .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature.....63-67. * Max humidity........79-84 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........2. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). * Max temperature.....90-95. * Min humidity........23-28 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (96600 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 98 to 103. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ Dennhardt