Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
137 FNUS54 KEPZ 201055 FWFEPZ Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 455 AM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MDT FRIDAY... ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... .DISCUSSION... Moisture will stay in place today and through at least the weekend keeping min RH values above critical thresholds during this time. Temperatures will run 5 to 15 degrees below average today but will gradually warm a few degrees each day through the weekend. Rain chances persist each day through next week. Southeast breezy winds expected today and tomorrow becoming light over the weekend. Ventilation rates stay good to excellent. && ...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect sky cover amount... ...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows: Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft) Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft) Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft) Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft) Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established by the state of New Mexico. NMZ110-201845- Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ- 455 AM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....75-80. * Below 7500 ft....82-87. * 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent. * Below 7500 ft....31-36 percent. * 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds around 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 28 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........5. * Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 30 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (178500 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....55-59. * Below 7500 ft....60-65. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....82-87 percent. * Below 7500 ft....79-84 percent. * 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds around 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 29 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................3. * Haines index........4. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....72-77. * Below 7500 ft....79-84. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent. * Below 7500 ft....39-44 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 26 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................1 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (128700 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 82 to 87. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 86 to 91. West winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ111-201845- Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ- 455 AM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MDT FRIDAY... .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....88-92. * 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........29-34 percent. * 24 hr trend......18 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds 25 to 30 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 28 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 30 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (205200 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....66-70. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........70-75 percent. * 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds around 30 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 29 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........6. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....87-91. * Min humidity........32-37 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 25 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (164600 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. East winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 100. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 101. North winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ112-201845- South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- 455 AM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers after 1200. * Max temperature.....83-88. * 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........38-43 percent. * 24 hr trend......28 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 24 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (164900 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain showers through the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....66-71. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........71-76 percent. * 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 25 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........2. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....84-89. * Min humidity........35-40 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (142600 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 91 to 96. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 74. Highs 97 to 102. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ113-201845- Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ- 455 AM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....63-68. * Below 7500 ft....72-77. * 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....69-74 percent. * Below 7500 ft....54-59 percent. * 24 hr trend......28 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......5000-5800 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Good (90200 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms through the night. Rain showers likely after midnight. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....50-55. * Below 7500 ft....58-63. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent. * Below 7500 ft....89-94 percent. * 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 23 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........2. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....65-70. * Below 7500 ft....74-79. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....64-69 percent. * Below 7500 ft....51-56 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......4300-6100 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Good (83200 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 81 to 86. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 84 to 89. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 86 to 91. South winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ055-201845- Texas Fire Weather Zone 055 El Paso County- 455 AM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 1200, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....84-88. * 24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........40-45 percent. * 24 hr trend......28 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. East winds 20 to 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 23 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......5700-7300 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (153600 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....71-75. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........68-73 percent. * 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. East winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 26 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........2. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers through the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....88-92. * Min humidity........30-34 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (153500 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the 70s. Highs 97 to 101. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 99 to 103. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ056-201845- Texas Fire Weather Zone 056 Hudspeth County- 455 AM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... .TODAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers until 1200, then chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max temperature.....77-82. * 24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........55-60 percent. * 24 hr trend......34 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. East winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 26 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....East around 25 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (111800 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....65-69. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........85-90 percent. * 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. East winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 26 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........2. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....84-89. * Min humidity........37-42 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (148000 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Highs 89 to 94. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$