Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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335
FNUS53 KGRR 221934
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
334 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...Showers and Storms Tonight...

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will drop down from the northwest later
tonight and into early Sunday.  Showers and thunderstorms will be
possible ahead of this feature.  Temperatures and humidity levels
will drop off for Sunday as the winds become west northwest.

MIZ037>039-043>045-230815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
334 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers with
                    thunderstorms likely until 2 AM, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....210-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.31-1.10 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3500-4000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-880 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2000-2500
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-350 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent near Lake Michigan and 44-49
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 12
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6200-6700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....370-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-230815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
334 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers with
                    thunderstorms likely until 2 AM, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....210-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.28-0.66 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....590-1000 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-340 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-630 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-230815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
334 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers with
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1300-1800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....250-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.34-1.24 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 11 AM, then partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent) until 5 PM, then sunny
                    (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3200-3700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-720 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-330 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6000-6500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-230815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
334 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers with
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....240-250 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.25-0.86 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 PM. Slight chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....590-950 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-380 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....360-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-230815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
334 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers and a chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....190-380 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.65 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....760-910 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-410 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....480-610 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 7 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely overnight.
Lows in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph
shifting to the south in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s.

$$