Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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761
FNUS53 KGRR 281944
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
344 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

...Showers and Storms Tonight into Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...
An increase in moisture has taken place today and more widespread
showers and storms are expected to break out tonight ahead of a cold
front. The cold front is located over Minnesota this Friday evening
but it will sweep through Lower Michigan on Saturday. Periods of
showers and storms will occur from after dark into the day on
Saturday. Rainfall amounts in some areas may reach 1 inch by Saturday
evening.


MIZ037>039-043>045-290815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
344 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers and a chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.51-1.49 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 2 PM, then mostly
                    sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........71-76 percent near Lake Michigan and 62-67
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 6
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2100-2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 1800-2300 ft AGL increasing to
                    3800-4300 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340 (good) increasing to 940 (excellent) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.15 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....590-690 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent near Lake Michigan and 43-48
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 14
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4400-4900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....750-870 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-290815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
344 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms after 11
                    PM. Showers likely after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-180 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.40-0.85 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 2 PM, then mostly
                    sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....550-1060 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....480-530 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-880 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-290815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
344 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers until
                    11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers after
                    11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110-180 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.48-1.27 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 2 PM, then mostly
                    sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers until
                    5 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3000-3500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-660 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.20 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....680-740 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-290815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
344 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers until
                    2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 PM.
                    Showers likely after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-190 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.41-0.91 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....670-830 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.26 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460-520 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-870 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-290815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
344 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers until
                    2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 PM.
                    Showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.42-1.35 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Showers likely
                    until 11 AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....690-810 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.27 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-450 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....710-810 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds 5 to 8 mph
in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. South winds 7 to 12 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the
evening, then showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms
overnight. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
80s.

$$