Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 151936
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
336 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

...Only Slight chances for rain next few days...

.DISCUSSION...
There will be slight chances for showers and thunderstorms
late tonight and Sunday across central and northern Lower Michigan.
Widely scattered showers will also be possible as humidity
increases on Monday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-160815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
336 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76-81 percent near Lake Michigan and 60-65
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 26
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around
                    26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4400-4900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....920-1140 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.40 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66 near Lake Michigan and around 70 Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 9
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent near Lake Michigan and 41-46
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 3
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6100-6600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1460 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-160815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
336 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....960-1380 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....130-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 94.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1260-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-160815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
336 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5100-5600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....880-1230 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent near Lake Michigan and 79-84
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 14
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-280 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....91-96.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent near Lake Michigan and 39-44
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 5
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2400-2900 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 5000-5500 ft AGL increasing to
                    7200-7700 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1010-1460 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-160815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
336 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-170 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....860-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-270 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 94.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1180-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-160815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
336 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....770-1180 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-220 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 95.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1030-1340 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 90s. South winds 6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 6 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds
5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s.

$$