Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
996 FNUS52 KILM 250729 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 329 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024 .DISCUSSION... Warm and humid today with a stray shower possible inland this afternoon. Unsettled weather returns Thursday and Friday as Tropical Storm Helene tracks through the Gulf of Mexico toward the Florida coast. High pressure should dry out the area over the weekend. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-252330- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 329 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 2 1 2 Max/Min Temp 87 70 83 Min/Max RH (%) 66 99 76 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 SE 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 8 G17 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.06 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 2 PM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 76/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3100 Transport Wind (mph) SE 13 SE 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49400 55800 ADI Early 44 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 37 Fair ADI Late 48 Gen Good 8 Poor 44 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 7 5 6 Max LVORI Late 3 6 4 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-252330- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 329 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 0 30 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms LAL 2 2 2 Max/Min Temp 87 71 83 Min/Max RH (%) 64 99 74 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 E 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 7 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.08 Precip Duration 1 1 Precip Begin 6 AM 8 AM Precip End 6 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 76/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 2900 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51800 52200 ADI Early 51 Gen Good 25 Fair 40 Fair ADI Late 51 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 46 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 8 Max LVORI Late 3 7 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-252330- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 329 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Max/Min Temp 86 72 82 Min/Max RH (%) 66 99 79 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 SE 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 SE 4 SE 9 G20 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.10 Precip Duration 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 1900 76/0900 Dispersion Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 2900 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51800 52200 ADI Early 55 Gen Good 26 Fair 44 Gen Good ADI Late 55 Gen Good 10 Poor 41 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 8 5 6 Max LVORI Late 3 6 4 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. East winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-252330- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 329 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024 Today Tonight Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 10 20 50 Precip Type Showers Showers Tstms LAL 2 2 3 Max/Min Temp 88 71 81 Min/Max RH (%) 61 100 79 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 E 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 Lgt/Var SE 8 Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.21 Precip Duration 1 1 2 Precip Begin 8 AM 11 PM Continuing Precip End 6 PM Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/1000 1900 75/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 2600 Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SE 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61500 46800 ADI Early 51 Gen Good 31 Fair 36 Fair ADI Late 43 Gen Good 10 Poor 40 Fair Max LVORI Early 9 6 8 Max LVORI Late 2 7 4 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain Turner Stability C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 68 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...21