Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
780 FNUS72 KILM 161109 FWSILM Spot Forecast for Darlington County Landfill Fire...Darlington County EMD National Weather Service Wilmington NC 709 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on September 16. If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374. .DISCUSSION... *** Updated to adjust start time in spot request *** Low pressure will move ashore on Monday bringing increasingly heavy rainfall and gusty winds especially at the coast. Drier air will build back into the region Tuesday. After a warm Wednesday a weak cold front will bring more seasonable temperatures beginning Thursday. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely early in the morning, then showers in the late morning and afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 73. Min humidity........91 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 14 to 17 mph with gusts to around 31 mph. Max mixing hgt......2000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 28 to 35 mph. Max vent rate.......Good (68910 mph-ft). Max LVORI...........4. Max ADI.............66. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........89 89 89 89 89 90 90 90 90 91 Weather cov.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Temp............68 69 69 70 70 70 71 70 70 70 RH..............93 93 92 92 92 93 92 93 94 96 20 FT wind dir..NE N NE N N N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..14 15 16 16 17 17 17 16 16 16 20 FT wind gust.25 26 26 27 28 30 28 28 30 31 Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.9 Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE Transp wind spd.28 30 32 32 33 35 35 32 32 32 Stability.......D D D D D D D D D D LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 ADI.............44 50 58 60 60 66 59 54 57 61 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Vrate mph-ft/1K.39 47 57 60 59 69 55 50 55 62 Ventrate Cat....PR FR FR GD FR GD FR FR FR GD Sfc pres (in)...978 978 978 979 979 979 973 973 973 963 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through the night. Chance of showers overnight. Min temperature.....Around 65. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 17 mph decreasing to around 7 mph early in the morning. Gusts up to Periodic showers and a few storms expected through tonight as low pressure offshore tracks over or near the area. Drier conditions should then return mid to late week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is None. 37 mph decreasing to 24 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Min mixing hgt......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 28 mph shifting to the east 15 to 18 mph late in the evening, then shifting to the southeast 13 to 15 mph overnight. Min vent rate.......Poor (7236 mph-ft). Max LVORI...........8. Min ADI.............7. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........90 90 89 90 91 91 91 90 90 89 89 88 Weather cov.....DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Temp............70 69 69 68 68 68 68 68 68 67 67 67 RH..............96 98 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 99 100 20 FT wind dir..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT wind spd..15 14 12 12 16 17 14 12 10 9 8 7 20 FT wind gust.27 26 25 25 31 31 28 25 20 18 15 13 Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.6 Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE E E SE SE S S Transp wind spd.28 25 23 23 20 18 16 15 14 13 14 15 Stability.......D D D D D D D D D E E F LVORI...........4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 ADI.............48 23 21 21 18 16 14 13 12 8 9 7 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Vrate mph-ft/1K.46 22 19 21 17 15 11 15 7 8 12 9 Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR Sfc pres (in)...963 963 957 957 957 954 954 954 950 950 950 955 $$ Forecaster...Lebo Requested by...Molly Odom Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2422468.2/ILM .DELDT 09/16/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL modom@darcoems.net