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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
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970 FXUS64 KMAF 241713 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1213 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 130 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024 There isn`t much to say that hasn`t been said already about this week. Temperatures will climb to the upper 90s and lower 100s this afternoon nearly everywhere minus the higher terrain. While not hot enough yet for heat products, you should still take plenty of breaks from the sun and drink lots of water. An isolated storm or two is possible in the Davis Mountains, but it stays dry elsewhere. Very little changes Tuesday regarding temperatures with highs likely a couple of degrees hotter. Monsoonal moisture will pool to our west and with daytime heating expect isolated storms to develop further north into the Guadalupe and Sacramento Mountains by afternoon. Given a dry subcloud layer, gusty winds will be possible with any storm. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 130 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024 Upper ridging will begin to flatten across the South midweek, but hot temperatures will remain in place. Nearly everyone could reach 100 Wednesday except for the higher terrain. Heat products will be possible, especially for the Rio Grande where temperatures look to climb near 110 degrees. Storm chances continue to trend upward out west Wednesday as a disturbance looks to move across the higher terrain out of Mexico. At least scattered showers and storms can be expected; some with locally heavy rain. The upper ridge expands late in the week stretching across the entire southern U.S. Temperatures each afternoon will remain similar with highs generally near or above 100 for most; cooler in the mountains. Monsoonal moisture will continue across western areas where subsidence is less leading to a daily occurrence of scattered showers and storms into the weekend. Model guidance is somewhat split, but a weak front could makes its way into the TX PH this weekend. If storms form along this front, it could push it further south than models indicate now. Will monitor for better rain chances and slightly cooler temperatures! && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1211 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024 VFR VIS and CIG prevail throughout TAF period. Winds become intermittently gusty this afternoon and increase in speed this evening beginning 23Z at FST and by 03Z-04Z at all terminals. Winds remain gusty until end of the period at MAF, but decrease in speed by 10Z-11Z Tuesday at other terminals in SE NM plains, western Permian Basin, and Reeves County Plains into lower Trans Pecos. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 77 101 77 102 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 76 104 78 102 / 0 10 10 30 Dryden 75 99 75 99 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 75 103 76 100 / 0 0 0 10 Guadalupe Pass 74 96 75 93 / 10 20 20 40 Hobbs 72 101 74 100 / 0 0 10 10 Marfa 65 97 67 97 / 10 20 20 40 Midland Intl Airport 75 100 76 100 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 75 100 76 100 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 77 105 79 104 / 0 0 0 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...29 LONG TERM....29 AVIATION...94