Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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630
ACUS11 KWNS 280629
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280628
MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-280830-

Mesoscale Discussion 1460
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0128 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

Areas affected...eastern South Dakota...southeastern North
Dakota...west central and southwestern Minnesota

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 479...

Valid 280628Z - 280830Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 479
continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for strong, potentially damaging wind gusts
appears to be in the process of waning and this probably will
continue as convection spreads east of WW 479.  A new severe weather
watch is not anticipated, but trends will continue to be monitored.

DISCUSSION...The conglomerate surface cold pool has maintained a
general eastward propagation in excess of 40 kt, accompanied by
occasional strong surface gusts.  However, trends in MRMS CAPPI,
among other data, suggest that peak intensities within the more
intense leading line are diminishing, as increasingly elevated
updraft inflow becomes less unstable.  These trends are expected to
continue as convection spreads into the upper Mississippi Valley
through daybreak.

..Kerr.. 06/28/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...

LAT...LON   45379748 46499762 46519521 44009545 43219699 43709777
            44589775 45379748