Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Graphics & Text |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4
188
FNUS72 KMFL 091708
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Block F Rx...NPS
National Weather Service Miami FL
108 PM EDT Sun Jun 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the morning
becoming more likely in the afternoon. Calm winds around dawn becoming
south to southwesterly with wind speeds only about 5 to 10 mph. Poor
dispersions in the morning improving to fair in the afternoon. RH values
will remain well above critical thresholds.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the morning. Showers
                    likely through the day. Thunderstorms likely in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1100, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1400, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the late
                    morning and early afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....18 increasing to 66.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  53  59  62  57  56  54  52  52
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).30  50  60  70  70  60  70  70  60
LAL.............2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
Temp............84  86  87  87  88  89  89  90  88
RH..............80  75  72  70  68  66  64  64  68
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9   12  12  13  15  16  16  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.6 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   9   10  12  12  13  14  15  15
Dispersion idx..18  29  36  40  46  50  57  66  66
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely in the evening. Showers likely through
                    the night. Chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 2300, then 9-15 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....50 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54  57  65  65  64  64  65  67  68  73  77  82
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
LAL.............4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............88  87  83  82  82  81  80  80  79  79  79  79
RH..............68  68  80  82  85  88  91  88  91  91  94  94
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.15  14  13  13  13  12  12  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 2.4 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  13  12  10  9   8   9   10  10  9   8   8
Dispersion idx..50  35  8   7   6   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
LVORI...........1   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    showers with thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 0800, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1100, then 9-15 strikes until 1400, then 16-25
                    strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph increasing to 14 to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 40 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 57 late in the morning increasing
                    to 60 early in the afternoon decreasing to 44.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........82     82     82     84     89     92
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).60     70     70     70     80     80
LAL.............3      2      2      3      4      4
Temp............80     82     83     84     85     85
RH..............91     88     82     80     77     77
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..3      5      7      8      8      8
20 FT wind gust.14     15     16     16     17     16
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   2200   2600   3000   3400   2700
Transport wind..S 9    S 13   S 16   S 18   S 20   S 16
Dispersion idx..6      36     53     60     63     48
LVORI...........6      4      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Fisher
Requested by...Dylan Scott
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415864.0/MFL
.DELDT 06/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0