Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
043 FNUS72 KMLB 260957 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for WBTWMA - Unit 4A...FWC National Weather Service Melbourne FL 557 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 26. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Light west to southwest winds will keep the east coast sea breeze close to the I-95 corridor with the boundary nearing the burn site this afternoon. Eastward moving showers and storms are forecast to develop this afternoon ahead of the west coast sea breeze. Coverage of showers and storms increases in vicinity of the burn site around 2 pm as boundary collisions happen nearby. Winds become variable in vicinity of thunderstorms generally remaining 35 mph or less. Afternoon temperatures are forecast to reach the mid 90s. Humid conditions will produce heat index values up to 106 degrees, and a Moderate Heat Risk exists today. Poor to fair smoke dispersion is expected. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the morning. Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the afternoon, then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes until 1200, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 94. Min humidity........60 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early in the afternoon, then shifting to the south 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning. Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL late in the morning. Transport winds.....West 5 to 8 mph. Dispersion index....4 increasing 28 late in the morning increasing to 41 early in the afternoon decreasing to 30. LVORI...............10 decreasing to 6 early in the morning, then decreasing to 3 late in the morning decreasing to 1 early in the afternoon increasing to 3. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........23 29 32 41 47 53 58 60 55 Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 20 30 40 60 60 60 60 LAL.............1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............81 85 87 90 91 92 90 89 91 RH..............86 76 72 65 62 60 64 66 62 20 FT wind dir..W NW NW NW NW W S S S 20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 20 FT wind gust.5 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.3 3.3 4.1 4.6 4.5 3.5 3.4 3.1 Transp wind dir.NW NW W W W W W SW SW Transp wind spd.7 7 7 5 6 8 7 6 8 Dispersion idx..12 18 25 24 32 41 31 29 30 LVORI...........5 3 3 3 1 1 1 3 2 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms early in the evening, then chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the evening. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2200, then 1-8 strikes until 2300, then No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 76. Max humidity........99 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening becoming light, then becoming southwest around 5 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 9 mph shifting to the west overnight. Dispersion index....24 decreasing to 4. LVORI...............4 increasing to 8. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........55 61 55 41 15 13 Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).60 50 20 0 0 0 LAL.............3 3 2 1 1 1 Temp............88 85 80 79 78 77 RH..............68 75 88 90 91 94 20 ft wind......S 6 S 5 SW 3 SW 3 W 5 SW 5 20 ft wind gust.7 7 6 6 8 8 Mix hgt (ft)....2000 800 400 400 400 400 Transport wind..S 9 S 8 S 8 SW 8 W 8 W 9 Dispersion idx..24 6 4 4 4 4 LVORI...........3 4 6 6 6 7 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 1-8 strikes until 1400, then 9-15 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 94. Min humidity........58 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph. Dispersion index....8 increasing to 60 late in the morning increasing to 71 decreasing to 57 late in the afternoon. LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........11 28 32 43 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC LIKELY Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).0 20 20 60 LAL.............1 2 2 3 Temp............76 81 89 92 RH..............98 85 64 58 20 FT wind......SW 5G8 SW 6G10 W 7G12 SW 8G13 Mix hgt (ft)....500 1900 4100 4200 Transport wind..SW 9 W 10 W 13 W 14 Dispersion idx..4 26 63 68 LVORI...........9 4 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Law Requested by...Melanie Mancuso Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2416705.0/MLB .DELDT 06/26/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL melanie.mancuso@myfwc.com