Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Graphics & Text |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
628
FNUS74 KMOB 101818
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Graham Creek Nature Preserve...Alabama Forestry Commission
National Weather Service Mobile AL
118 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and storms are possible throughout the
afternoon hours and we may see an increase in storms late this afternoon
near the burn site as a cold front clashes with the sea breeze. Gusty,
erratic winds can be expected with storms today. Rain chances are near
zero at the burn site tomorrow and low on Wednesday. Minimum relative
humidity remains above critical thresholds. Transport winds remain west
to west-northwest this afternoon and turn northerly tomorrow. Afternoon
dispersion is fair today and tomorrow.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    becoming light late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1585 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 3 to 4 meters/second shifting to the
                    north 3 to 5 meters/second early in the
                    morning, then shifting to the northwest around
                    3 meters/second late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 28.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  36  36  25  24  21  32  31  44  41  30  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  73  76  79  84  87  89  89  90  90  91  89
RH..............93  84  79  69  57  52  50  52  49  50  49  52
20 FT wind dir..NNE NNE NNE NE  NE  NE  NNE NNE N   N   NW  WNW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.9   10  10  10  10  9   9   8   8   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.5 2.3 3.3 4.1 4.8 5.2 4.7 4.4 4.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.NNE NNE NNE NE  NE  NNE NNE N   N   N   NNW WNW
Transp wind spd.8   10  12  9   8   7   6   7   7   6   6   6
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..8   15  17  19  22  24  26  29  30  27  26  26
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1341 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast 8 to
                    9 mph overnight.
Transport winds m/s.West around 3 meters/second becoming 2 to 3
                    meters/second in the evening, then shifting to
                    the northeast 3 to 4 meters/second overnight.
Dispersion index....26 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  16  17  18  19  26  33  40  36  31  27  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............88  86  82  80  78  77  76  75  74  72  71  70
RH..............54  57  65  69  74  74  74  74  71  73  73  73
20 FT wind dir..WNW W   WNW NW  NW  NNW N   N   N   NNE NNE NNE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   WNW WSW W   WNW NW  N   NNE NNE NNE NNE NE
Transp wind spd.6   7   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..26  3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   6
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    shifting to the southeast around 6 mph early in
                    the afternoon shifting to the southwest 5 to 6
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1554 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph shifting to the north
                    around 6 mph early in the afternoon, then
                    shifting to the west around 7 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast around 4 meters/second decreasing to
                    3 to 4 meters/second in the morning and early
                    afternoon, then shifting to the north around 3
                    meters/second early in the afternoon shifting
                    to the west late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 28.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  19  25  30  36  35  33  32  29  26  22  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  71  75  79  84  87  90  91  91  90  89  88
RH..............73  73  66  60  53  48  45  44  44  47  48  50
20 FT wind dir..NNE NNE NNE NE  NE  ENE E   E   ESE S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.7   8   8   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.3 4.2 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  ENE ENE NE  NNE NNE N   W   WSW SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   8   8   7   6   6   6   7   7   7
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..6   13  15  19  22  25  27  29  28  28  27  27
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...7
Requested by...Richard Fields
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415900.1/MOB
.DELDT 06/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL richard.fields@forestry.alabama.gov