944
FXUS64 KOHX 280557
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1257 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 753 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Current temperatures across the area are mid 80s, but will fall in
the 60s overnight. Tonight`s 00Z sounding displaying dry
conditions aloft. Patchy fog in the Cumberland Plateau is
expected in the early morning hours. Southerly winds set to
transport warmer conditions Friday afternoon. Most will remain
dry but some pop-up summertime thunderstorms possible tomorrow
afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1052 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Yesterday`s frontal passage has completely cleared Middle
Tennessee, but we may still see a few showers this afternoon in
areas to the southeast of Nashville. By this evening, we will be
rain-free. Temperatures today will top out in the 80s, but we`ll
heat right back up starting tomorrow.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1052 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

A lot of the moisture that headed south with yesterday`s fropa
will drift back northward Friday and Saturday. In addition, the
next frontal boundary will approach Middle Tennessee from the
northwest this weekend. This will result in at least isolated
convection tomorrow and tomorrow night, especially along the
Cumberland Plateau, with more widespread activity developing
Saturday, Saturday night, and especially on Sunday with the
expected passage of this surface boundary. Temperatures on
Saturday will be especially hot, and a Heat Advisory may been
needed for Saturday as heat indices are expected to exceed 105F in
many areas west of the Plateau. Temperatures will back off after
Sunday`s fropa -- for a day -- but will spike upward starting on
Tuesday, with Heat Advisory criteria possibly being met next
Wednesday and Thursday. At this time, we are not outlooked for any
severe storms, although the SPC does have a marginal risk area to
our immediate north on Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1257 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

VFR conditions thru 29/06Z. Patchy fog confidence development
impacting SRB/CSV not high. Isolated shwrs/tstms afternoon hours
possible Cumberland Plateau Region, but not enough confidence in
development to mention impacting/vcnty either. Sfc high pressure
apex centered across Great Lakes Region will shift E to New
England coastline by 29/06Z. Sfc light NE winds shifting to
prevailing S/light after 28/14Z with initial SKC conditions
becoming BKN CI with sct CU/AC also expected SRB/CSV.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      94  77  95  77 /  10   0  40  50
Clarksville    92  75  93  75 /  10   0  50  50
Crossville     89  70  86  70 /  20  10  40  50
Columbia       94  74  95  74 /  10   0  30  40
Cookeville     90  72  88  72 /  10  10  50  50
Jamestown      89  72  87  71 /  20  10  50  50
Lawrenceburg   92  73  92  74 /  10  10  30  40
Murfreesboro   94  74  94  75 /  10  10  40  50
Waverly        91  74  94  74 /  10   0  40  50

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE.......Clements
SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....JB Wright