Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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250 FXUS64 KOHX 191131 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 631 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 102 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 It`s quiet across the area tonight with some high clouds passing by and some patches of fog being noted on the nighttime microphysics. Additional patches of fog will be possible through the early morning hours. Today will be a seasonably warm September day as upper ridging begins to build into the area. Some patchy fog will be possible again tonight before giving way to another hot and dry day on Friday. Highs on Friday will be another two or three degrees warmer than today. && .LONG TERM... (Friday Night through next Thursday) Issued at 102 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 The warming trend will carry into the weekend with some locations climbing into the mid 90s on Saturday. Sunday looks very similar to Saturday. As we go into the next work week, the upper ridging will flatten out as a shortwave moves through the central plains. This will knock temperatures back a few degrees starting on Monday and could allow for the development of a couple diurnal showers and storms. The initial shortwave will miss us to the north as it lifts through the Midwest and Great Lakes Monday night. Models diverge after that point. Some bring another trough through the area increasing shower and storm chances by mid week while other solutions reestablish the upper high over the south leaving a large upper low over the front range of the Rockies. Let`s hope for the first solution because we could use some rain. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 628 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 MVFR to LIFR conditions are impacting MQY/CSV/SRB this morning due to some areas of fog. Conditions will improve through the morning back to VFR. Tonight, SRB/CSV will likely see fog develop once again. Winds today will be light, generally 5 kts or less. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 91 68 93 68 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 90 66 92 67 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 84 59 86 59 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 89 64 92 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 85 62 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 84 61 86 62 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 89 64 91 64 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 90 64 93 65 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 89 66 91 66 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Reagan LONG TERM....Reagan AVIATION.....Cravens