Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
665 FNUS55 KPSR 242001 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 101 PM MST Mon Jun 24 2024 .DISCUSSION... Monsoonal moisture will continue to result in daily chances for shower and thunderstorm activity, especially into midweek. The higher terrain areas will see the greatest potential with some locally heavy rainfall with any storms that develop. Chances for wetting rains will generally remain around 10-20% for the higher terrain areas and 5-10% for the lower deserts of south-central Arizona through the first half of the week. Shower and thunderstorm chances will gradually diminish throughout the week, as high pressure builds into the region. With the elevated moisture in place, MinRH values through early this week will range between 30-40% across the far eastern districts to between 15-25% across the western districts before slowly drying into the middle to latter half of next week. Winds will follow their typical daily tendencies, with gusty outflows from any thunderstorm activity anticipated over the next several days. Temperatures average several degrees above normal through the forecast period. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-250815- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 101 PM MST Mon Jun 24 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers . slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................82-92. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................40-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............East 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * LAL.............................1 in the evening becoming 2 after midnight. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 9 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-92. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 104-109. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 78-88. Highs 102-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 78-88. Highs 104-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 106-112. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 103-109. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-250815- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 101 PM MST Mon Jun 24 2024 /101 PM PDT Mon Jun 24 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................41-57 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 10 to 20 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 12 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................83-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................37-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 107-112. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 79-84. Highs 106-111. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 79-84. Highs 107-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 110-115. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 107-112. $$ AZZ133-250815- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 101 PM MST Mon Jun 24 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................68-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................52-71 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming west after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................91-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................22-31 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................69-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................45-65 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................92-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-85. Highs 90-104. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-83. Highs 89-104. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-85. Highs 92-106. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-85. Highs 91-106. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-83. Highs 89-104. $$ CAZ232-250815- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 101 PM PDT Mon Jun 24 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-50 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming southeast after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................29-46 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 78-89. Highs 104-114. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 77-86. Highs 102-112. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 77-86. Highs 102-112. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 80-86. Highs 105-115. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 79-86. Highs 103-113. $$ CAZ230-250815- Joshua Tree National Park- 101 PM PDT Mon Jun 24 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................72-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-43 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................93-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................72-86. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................30-40 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................93-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................16-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 67-84. Highs 93-108. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 65-81. Highs 91-106. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 65-80. Highs 92-107. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 68-81. Highs 94-109. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 68-81. Highs 92-108. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Monday July 1st through Wednesday July 3rd: Above normal temperatures and precipitation.