Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 051156
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Spot Forecast for Monument Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Riverton WY
556 AM MDT Wed Jun 5 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on June 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

Warming temperatures and dry conditions will be the trend at least
through Thursday. It will be breezy today, with wind decreasing
for Thursday. Friday will see increased chances of showers and
thunderstorms, though there is still uncertainty on how widespread
this activity will be. For now a wetting rain (>= 0.10") appears
unlikely on Friday. Better rain chances move in for the weekend,
with the best chance for a wetting rain on Sunday. Still lots of
uncertainty on how the weekend system will play out.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 10 to 13 mph after
0900.
Ridgetop wind.......Becoming west around 20 mph by 1000.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 7600 ft AGL by 1600.
Transport winds.....Becoming west 25 to 30 mph by 1000.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14600 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
by 1100.
Haines Index........2.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  12  11  10  16  15  8   7   5   7   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  49  56  62  66  68  70  72  72  73  74
RH..............85  72  61  52  44  38  35  34  34  31  30
20 FT wind dir..NE  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..4   6   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.5   7   14  17  18  18  18  19  19  19  18
Ridge wind dir..NE  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..10  10  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.3 4.3 5.3 6.2 6.5 6.7 6.8 7.4 7.6 7.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  14  23  26  29  29  28  25  25  25  24
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100015  27  85  121 154 163 161 151 163 166 156

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West around 10 mph becoming light
downslope/downvalley after 2100.
Ridgetop wind.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming southeast around
5 mph by 0100.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 1600 ft AGL by 2100.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 22 mph decreasing to 7 to 9 mph
by 2100.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (128500 knot-ft) decreasing to
poor after 2000.
Haines Index........2 to 3.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........12  13  7   10  10  10  9   8   8   9   8   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............73  71  67  59  52  47  44  42  41  39  38  38
RH..............31  34  39  51  61  73  79  81  85  88  90  92
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   SE  SE  S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..11  9   6   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.17  14  10  6   6   4
Ridge wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   SE  SE  S   S   SE
Ridge wind spd..20  15  15  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...6.8 5.9 2.1 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.22  20  13  9   9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/1000129 100 23  13  13  11  10  9   10  10  9   10

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 6 to 8 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming west 10 to 15
mph after 1200.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8400 ft AGL by 1500.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 10 mph becoming west 12 to 18
mph after 1200.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8000 knot-ft) increasing to very good
by 1400.
Haines Index........3 to 4.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  6   5   7   22  19  16  14  12  10  16  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............38  42  49  56  63  69  75  76  77  78  78  78
RH..............90  81  66  55  43  35  27  25  23  21  22  23
20 FT wind dir..SE  NE  SE  E   E   E   NE  W   W   NW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   2   1   1   2   2   3   6   7   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.                        4   7   11  13  13  11
Ridge wind dir..SE  NE  SE  E   E   E   NE  W   W   NW  W   W
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.4 1.6 2.1 3.0 4.3 5.7 6.6 7.5 8.4 8.2 7.9
Transp wind dir.N   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   7   6   6   7   9   12  14  16  18  17  17
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10008   9   8   11  18  35  57  79  105 135 122 118

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs around 80. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...Myers
Requested by...Wade Froseth
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415622.0/RIW
.DELDT 06/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wade.froseth@usda.gov