787
FXUS64 KSHV 250715
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
215 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday)
Issued at 206 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to work into the region
today, as longwave troughing and our second cold front continue to
work south. This trough is very progressive in nature, with rain
chances beginning to diminish by the afternoon hours. Once this cold
front finally clears the region, expect the rest of the short-term
to be very pleasant. Dry conditions should remain into the weekend,
with afternoon highs dropping to a much more seasonable feel. The
same can be said for overnight lows, with lows dropping into the
upper-50s to low-60s.

/44/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 206 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Rain chances will return to the forecast by late Friday morning, as
moisture from now Tropical Storm Helene begins to wrap around the
closed low over the midwest. In turn, the best chances for organized
rain will be along and north of I-20, with dry conditions south.
However, as the low pressure continues to meander NE into the
weekend, then the rain chances will shift NE as well. By Sunday, dry
conditions will return area-wide, with limited rain chances
anticipated for the rest of the long-term. High temperatures will
begin to climb by Sunday as well, with highs returning to the mid to
upper-80s. However, overnight lows will continue to be quite
pleasant, as dry air keeps working into the region under north flow.
Overnight lows will likely continue to range in the mid-50s to mid-
60s.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

For the 25/06z TAF update...Radar imagery is showing an increase
in showers and thunderstorms for our northern zones of southeast
Oklahoma and western Arkansas. This activity should continue to
push through our region tonight and into Wednesday morning as a
cold front begins to push through. As such, VCSH and VCTS will
remain possible for pretty much all terminals during this TAF
period. Winds will generally remain light throughout this period
and will gradually shift to the north as the front makes it
through. KLFK could see some BR this morning that will limit
visibility, so I have left some mention of that in there. /33/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  82  63  83  63 /  50   0   0   0
MLU  83  62  83  62 /  40   0   0  10
DEQ  82  58  82  59 /  20   0   0  10
TXK  82  60  83  61 /  40   0   0  10
ELD  80  58  81  59 /  40   0   0  10
TYR  81  61  84  61 /  40   0   0   0
GGG  80  61  83  60 /  40   0   0   0
LFK  85  63  83  61 /  50  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...33