045
FXUS64 KSJT 250541
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1241 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 223 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Hot and dry is the name of the game for west central Texas...with
upper level ridging firmly in control over the southwestern U.S.
It will be mild tonight, with temperatures only dropping into the
mid to upper 70s. Rinse and repeat for Tuesday afternoon, with
temperatures ticking a couple of degrees warmer than today. Highs
will be in the 98-103 range, with the highest readings across the
Concho Valley and Big Country. The main issue will be feels like
temperatures especially across portions of the Big Country where
heat index values may reach or exceed 105 degrees. Will hold off
on a heat advisory with this forecast package given the
uncertainty with how high dewpoints will be. But will continue to
monitor dewpoint trends and issue an advisory with the next
forecast package if heat index values continue to trend up.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 251 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

High pressure will continue across the region through this weekend.
The hot and dry conditions will be the main result of this. Expect
heat indices in the 102-108 degree range through the end of the
work week. A Heat Advisory may be needed for the middle of this
week as there remains a risk of heat related illness given the
prolonged period of heat. The high pressure may start to shift to
the east early next week, which may bring a touch of relief.
However, the main focus for this period is the heat through the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

In general, VFR conditions will prevail across area terminals
through Tuesday evening. Some brief MVFR cigs developed on Monday
morning across the southern terminals and may see a repeat around
sunrise this morning at KJCT and KSOA, but anything that develops
should remain limited. Otherwise, south to southeast winds will
prevail and will continue to be gusty at times during daylight
hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     79 101  79 101 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  78 103  77 104 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    76  99  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   77  99  77 100 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  79 102  79 102 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       76  98  74  99 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       76  97  76  98 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...07