Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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675
FXUS64 KSJT 260750
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
250 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 251 PM CDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Main concern in the short term is the heat, with a heat advisory
issued for Wednesday afternoon.

Upper ridge remains entrenched across west Texas through the short
term, with afternoon highs continuing to climb into the upper 90s
to around 100 degrees. Increasing low level moisture across the
eastern counties will lead to heat index values in the 103 to 107
range, mainly east of a Brady to Coleman to Albany line tomorrow
afternoon. Have issued a heat advisory, which may need to be
extended into Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 248 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Hot and dry conditions continue into next week. Upper ridge over
the Southwest U.S. and Texas will elongate and spread eastward
Thursday into the weekend. Highs of 100 to 104 expected again
Thursday, but temperatures may fall a degree or two this weekend,
before increasing back up 1 degree or two Monday and Tuesday.
Heat advisories may be needed Thursday for the Concho Valley, Big
Country and Heartland.

Beyond the 7 day day forecast, for the 4th of July, models
indicate an area of relative weakness in the upper ridge, so
there could be some isolated thunderstorm development,
particularly in the Big Country. However, uncertainty is high
that far out.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Similarly to yesterday, mostly VFR conditions will prevail across
West Central Texas terminals through Wednesday evening. Some
patchy MVFR cigs will be possible for a few hours after sunrise
across the southern locations, but should quickly lift and
dissipate. Otherwise, light south to southeast winds will prevail,
occasionally gusting up around 20 mph during daylight hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene    102  79 102  79 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo 105  78 104  78 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    99  76 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   99  76 100  76 /  10   0   0   0
Sweetwater 102  79 103  79 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       99  75  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       97  76  98  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
for Brown-Callahan-Coke-Coleman-Concho-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-
Jones-McCulloch-Nolan-Runnels-San Saba-Shackelford-Sterling-
Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...07