929
FXUS62 KTBW 261302
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
902 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 854 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

High pressure continues to ridge south of Florida keeping a
predominant light westerly flow across the region. This is promoting
isolated showers and storms to develop over the eastern gulf waters
and move slowly eastward over the coastal counties this morning.
These showers and storms will spread farther inland during the
afternoon and evening hours and will be slow moving and may cause
some localized flooding in heavier downpours. Max temps will top out
in the low to mid 90`s with heat indices reaching 100-105 degrees.
No changes needed to current forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 854 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

VFR conditions will prevail outside of thunderstorms. Light westerly
winds around 5-10 knots will persist through the period. Will hold
VCTS to cover thunderstorms today through 18Z for PIE/TPA/SRQ and
21Z for LAL/PGD/FMY/RSW. Storms that do develop will be slow
moving.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 854 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

A light pressure gradient remains over the eastern Gulf of Mexico
for the next few days. This is producing a light onshore flow with
winds 10 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less through the end of
the week. Daily showers and storms will be possible each day through
the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  91  79  90  80 /  50  40  50  20
FMY  90  77  90  77 /  50  40  50  10
GIF  93  76  93  76 /  60  40  60  10
SRQ  91  79  90  78 /  50  40  50  20
BKV  93  75  91  75 /  50  30  50  20
SPG  89  81  88  81 /  50  40  50  20

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 5

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...ADavis