369
FXUS62 KTBW 300039
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
839 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 827 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

Most of the showers/storms have come to an end this evening. Most
of the ongoing shower/storm activity is limited to southwest
Florida. Due to this, adjusted PoPs to account for current trends.
Expect the activity over southwest Florida to come to an end over
the next couple of hours with quiet conditions forecast for much
of the overnight period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 706 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

VFR conditions currently across the terminals. A few
showers/storms will continue to impact the southern terminals
(PGD, RSW, FMY) through 02z. Conditions in these downpours will
briefly become MVFR to IFR. Expect quiet conditions overnight.
Showers/storms will return to the TAFs after 16-18z and have VCTS
mentioned in the TAFs beyond this timeframe.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 302 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

Showers and thunderstorms are developing along the sea breeze
boundary near the coast this afternoon. Some of the storms may drift
over coastal waters this evening.  A similar pattern will repeat for
the next few days, with a few isolated storms developing early in
the morning along the land breeze and then subside during the
morning, before afternoon and evening thunderstorms move towards the
coast late in the day. Outside thunderstorms, winds and seas look to
remain light through the forecast period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 302 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

No significant concerns with scattered to numerous storms expected
each day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  77  91  77  91 /  30  90  40  60
FMY  76  92  75  91 /  70  90  30  60
GIF  75  93  75  94 /  40  90  20  60
SRQ  76  91  75  91 /  40  90  40  60
BKV  74  93  73  93 /  30  90  30  60
SPG  81  91  80  92 /  30  90  40  60

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 2
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Anderson
DECISION SUPPORT...Giarratana
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Giarratana